Resetting races for MLB playoffs with 2 weeks left in regular season

Clinching season has begun, with the Tampa Bay Rays and Milwaukee Brewers becoming the first teams to wrap up spots in the MLB playoffs.

Passan very interested in how Mariners respond to their 2026 season

Here’s a quick rundown of baseball’s remaining unresolved races:

In the American League

The New York Yankees and Boston are almost certain to join Tampa Bay in the playoffs out of the AL East. The Rays have a comfortable four-game lead in the division over the Yankees, and they’re likely to have the tiebreaker over New York, but that race isn’t completely over since the two teams face each other in a four-game series in the final week of the regular season.

The Red Sox can plan on being the second wild card.

That leaves three spots up for grabs: the AL Central title, the AL West title and the third wild card. The Chicago White Sox lead Cleveland by a half-game for the AL Central, with the Guardians holding a one-game lead over Toronto for the final wild card. Houston leads Texas by one game for the AL West, and the Rangers are also two behind Cleveland for the last wild card. Everyone else is at least four behind Cleveland.

Head to head: White Sox at Cleveland (Sept. 14-16), Toronto at Texas (Sept. 18-20).

Other key tiebreakers that have been determined: White Sox over Blue Jays and Rangers; Astros over White Sox, Guardians and Rangers; Blue Jays over Guardians; Rangers over Blue Jays and Guardians.

There’s also a tight race brewing between the AL Central and AL West leaders for the second of the AL’s two first-round byes. Right now Chicago leads Houston by 1 1/2 games for that.

In the National League

The Brewers, Atlanta and the Los Angeles Dodgers all have substantial leads in their divisions. Milwaukee (93-57) seems pretty safe for a first-round bye. Los Angeles (90-59) leads Atlanta (88-62) in the race for the other one.

The wild-card race is basically four teams fighting for three spots — the Chicago Cubs (83-67), Philadelphia (83-67), San Diego (81-68) and Arizona (79-71). San Diego hosts Arizona in the final three games of the season Sept. 25-27.

Tiebreakers: Braves over Dodgers; Cubs over Phillies, Padres and Diamondbacks; Phillies over Padres.

Seattle Mariners Notes: Power-hitting prospect to play in fall league

Related

Bump expects heavy dose of Seahawks RB Jadarian Price vs CardsPassan very interested in how Mariners respond to their 2026 seasonSix Mariners prospects with rising stocks in 2026Mariners surrender 4-run lead, fall to A’s 8-7 on walkoff HRWhat Wyman and Bob are watching over Mariners’ closing stretchMariners slug 5 HRs in historic 19-1 blowout of A’s