Moore: Seahawks could have a field day vs. turnover-prone Washington
The bye week not only gives players a needed rest, it will hopefully help bad handicappers of Seahawks games.
I dropped to 0-3 after taking Denver and 5 against the Seahawks, and the Broncos lost 20-13 in overtime.
For as bad as I’ve been, I don’t know where I get off giving John Clayton a hard time for predicting that New England would blow out Kansas City last Monday night.
The Professor rebounded nicely Thursday night by predicting that Green Bay would hammer Minnesota, and that’s exactly what happened, the Packers winning 42-10.
I’m hoping for a similar rebound but thinking I’ve got a better chance at a perfect 0-16 season against the spread because I have no feel whatsoever for the Seahawks’ next game, Monday night at Washington.
The obvious factors point to a big Seahawks win. They are the defending Super Bowl champs who are coming off a win over the second-best team in the league.
The Redskins are 1-3. Their only win was over the lowly Jaguars. They are coming off a 45-14 loss at home to the Giants. Their coach, Jay Gruden, called that game “a total team debacle.”
Their quarterback, Kirk Cousins, threw four interceptions and lost a fumble in that game. In the 11 games that he’s played, Cousins has committed 18 turnovers, a perfect guy for the Seahawks to be facing to inflate their interception and recovered-fumble totals.
That’s one of the keys to the game, getting pressure on Cousins, who is easily flustered when pestered.
Stopping Alfred Morris is another key. Like Marshawn Lynch, he’s averaging 4.5 yards a carry, but the Seahawks are limiting opponents to 2.8 yards a carry so far this year.
DeSean Jackson will have an interesting matchup with the Legion of Boom, which has been mostly good this year but surprisingly allowed the Broncos to tie the game in a 41-second drive at CenturyLink Field after being sliced and diced by San Diego’s Philip Rivers a week before.
After facing Aaron Rodgers, Rivers and Peyton Manning, the Seahawks get a break against Cousins, who can be occasionally spectacular but is more apt to make mistakes.
If a trend is your friend in the betting world, then this is worth noting: the Seahawks are unbeaten under coach Pete Carroll in Monday night games, and the Redskins are 0-6 in their last six prime-time games.
Lynch might have a tougher go of it with one of Seattle’s best blockers, tight end Zach Miller, sidelined with an ankle injury. Washington is fairly salty on defense, ranking eighth in the league in total yards allowed.
But the secondary without DeAngelo Hall is vulnerable to big plays, and Miller’s backup, Luke Willson, noticed that Giants tight end Larry Donnell had three touchdowns against the Redskins last week.
Which Redskins team will show up, the one that registered 10 sacks against the Jaguars? The one that threw for more than 400 yards in a 37-34 loss to the Eagles? Or the one that cashed it in against the Giants?
For me, whenever it looks too obvious to take one team over another, such as Seattle in this game, you’re best to go the other way or steer clear of a bet altogether.
But for the sake of this post, I’ve got to pick one team or the other, and I’m going with the Redskins for two reasons: In every Thursday night game this year, the loser has bounced back and won the following week. And in Vegas, one of the most profitable plays over the course of time is the Monday night home underdog, and the Redskins are getting 7.5 points in this game.
The Seahawks are the better team, but it will be closer than you think.
Prediction: Seahawks 24, Redskins 21
Season record against the spread: 0-3
The Go 2 Guy also writes for SeattlePI.com and KitsapSun.com. You can reach Jim at [email protected] and follow him on Twitter @cougsgo.