2018 Mariners preview: Tom Wassell’s over-under

Mar 28, 2018, 5:00 AM | Updated: 8:56 am

Can Dee Gordon become just the second Mariner ever to steal 60 bases in a season? (AP)...

Can Dee Gordon become just the second Mariner ever to steal 60 bases in a season? (AP)


If the Mariners are going to make any kind of run at October baseball, certain numbers will have to be met. So why not play a game of over-under?

2018 Mariners previews: Jim Moore | Mike Salk | Brent Stecker

As we go through this you may be surprised at how realistic these figures seem, at least on an individual basis. The key is, of course, to have as many of them happen as possible without things like *gasp* injuries sabotaging the effort.

It’s my game, so I get to make the odds. We may agree or disagree on whether or not all of the Mariners players reach these numbers, but if it’s going to be a fun season at Safeco, they won’t be too far off.

Take a look and share your own verdicts in the comments.

Dee Gordon: 60 stolen bases

Since 2014, the Mariners’ new leadoff hitter stole 64, 58, 30 (in 79 games) and 60 bases. I don’t believe he has to steal 60 bases for the team to win, but since it’s a weapon the Mariners haven’t had in forever (only Harold Reynolds has reached 60 steals for the M’s), they might as well use it.


Jean Segura: .310 average

If Gordon is going to be standing on second base that often, it would be nice if the 2016 National League hit king could do what he does best.


Felix Hernandez: 4.10 ERA

This is about as high of a number as I can go with Felix and still think of it as a successful season. Anything more and the King’s Court will be permanently adjourned.


Ichiro Suzuki: With the team beyond June 1?

If Ichiro is with the Mariners past the month of May, he’s either playing out of his mind or Ben Gamel and Jayson Werth are hurt/not producing.


Robinson Cano: 25 home runs

How many more times can he get over 25? Enough to make me not hate that contract.


Kyle Seager: .265 average

Hopefully, last year’s .249 average is the outlier. It’s odd that each of Seager’s last two managers have singled him out as a guy who should hit for higher average and yet it hasn’t happened.


Mike Leake: 3.98 ERA

That’s his career ERA, so we’ll stick with that. The only things required of Mike Leake this season are to be consistent and available.


Nelson Cruz: 32 home runs

This guy has done nothing but crush the ball since becoming a Mariner. And that smile will brighten up even the rainiest of Seattle days.


Daniel Vogelbach: More time in majors or minors?

If spring training’s best story is with the big club by the end of April, there’s likely an injury to someone else. But who’s to say he can’t force the Mariners to keep him around with solid production?


Mike Zunino: .245 average

He doesn’t need to hit .280 to convince me that he’s “fixed.” Keep it above .230 with 25 home runs and keep doing what you’re doing behind the plate.


James Paxton: 26 starts

His previous high is 24 (2017). I’m willing to accept him as a guy who just gets hurt once in awhile. If he makes 26, that will mean he will have missed roughly a month. Fine.


Edwin Diaz: 33 Saves

Diaz is the Mariners’ next homegrown All-Star. Huge year coming.


Marco Gonzales: 10 Wins

If your fourth starter is winning 12 games, you’re in the playoffs.


Drayer: M’s aim to stay ahead of the curve with pitching tech

Mariners Roof Report

Brought to you by
Mostly Cloudy then Chance Rain Showers
High 65° | Low 48°
Roof is open
Rangers at Mariners today at 7:10pm

Bob, Groz and Tom

Seahawks RB Chris Carson...

Brent Stecker

Heaps: Bench Chris Carson? Seahawks need him running to make playoffs

Seahawks running back Chris Carson is struggling with fumbles, and it's imperative he corrects the issue, says Jake Heaps. "If this team is going to go to the playoffs, they have to have Chris Carson running the football."

5 years ago

The Groz at T-Mobile Park...

Brent Stecker

Watch: The Groz throws out the 1st pitch before Mariners-Astros game

Dave "The Groz" Grosby was honored by the Mariners on Tuesday night by throwing out the ceremonial first pitch. Check out video, photos and more from his big night here.

5 years ago

Bob, Groz and Tom... Staff

Highlights from The Groz’s last show on Bob, Groz and Tom

Dave "The Groz" Grosby signed off as a full-time Seattle sports radio host Friday on Bob, Groz and Tom with visits from several notable names from his career.

5 years ago

The Groz... Staff

Watch: Members of the Seattle sports media pay tribute to The Groz

Watch a special tribute to 710 ESPN Seattle's The Groz featuring messages from members of the Seattle sports media to commemorate his 29 years as a daily host in the market.

5 years ago

The Groz...

Brent Stecker

The Groz’s final show on Bob, Groz and Tom airs Friday at noon

Dave "The Groz" Grosby will finish up his 29-year career as a daily Seattle sports radio host on Friday from noon to 3 p.m. on 710 ESPN Seattle's Bob, Groz and Tom.

5 years ago

Mariners OF Kyle Lewis...

Brent Stecker

What sets Mariners OF Kyle Lewis apart from other prospects?

Mariners outfielder Kyle Lewis hit his fifth home run in eight games in the big leagues on Wednesday. ROOT Sports analyst Mike Blowers talked to Bob, Groz and Tom about Lewis and what makes him stand out.

5 years ago

2018 Mariners preview: Tom Wassell’s over-under