By Jim Moore
I’m a little concerned. This bye week may have thrown off my handicapping momentum.
I’ve correctly picked the last seven Seahawks games against the spread. I also hit the first two games of the year against Arizona and Dallas. My only miss came in the Green Bay game in Week 3 when Golden Tate prevented my entrance into the Degenerate Gamblers Hall of Fame by ending my shot at a perfect season.
As it is, the Go 2 Guy’s 9-1 in predicting Seahawks games against the spread this year, so listen up – in gambling circles, a trend is your friend.
It’s stupid to talk smack to the betting gods, but I’m about to go 10-1. Those guys in Vegas don’t know how to set lines on the Seahawks. I don’t feel like they’ve warmed up to how good Pete Carroll’s team is as yet.
Seahawks quarterback Russell Wilson has four touchdowns and eight interceptions on the road compared to 11 touchdowns and no interceptions at home. (AP)
Try to figure out why the Seahawks are only 2.5-point favorites over the Dolphins on Sunday. I’ve only come up with the following reasons:
• Miami’s at home.
• It’s a 10 a.m. game.
• Miami’s a long road trip.
• Seattle’s coming off a bye and could be rusty.
• Seattle’s 1-4 on the road.
• Russell Wilson has not been nearly as good on the road as he it is at home.
But look at the factors that favor the Hawks:
• Wilson should find this road game more to his liking given that the Dolphins have the 28th-ranked pass defense.
• The Dolphins lost 37-3 at home two weeks ago to the Titans. The Seahawks, even with their B game, are better than the Titans.
• The Dolphins looked miserable in their loss to the Bills last Thursday night.
• Ryan Tannehill has struggled in the past two games.
• Over the last three games, the Dolphins had a stretch of 26 straight drives end without a touchdown.
This is just like the game against the Jets two weeks ago. I had a hard time finding any reasons to take the Jets and 6.5. It looked too obvious to take the Seahawks, and when that’s the case, you’re usually missing something, but Seattle breezed 27-7.
You tell me? Am I missing something this week? Shouldn’t the Dolphins be seven-point underdogs? They’ve got a sputtering offense. They’ve lost two in a row and looked brutal in both games. They’re good against the run, vulnerable against the pass.
The Seahawks have a blossoming offense. They’ve won two in a row and looked good in both games. They’re solid against the run and the pass, particularly against feeble teams like the Dolphins.
I’m expecting a slow start from the Hawks because of the layoff and miles traveled, but they’ll finish fast in Miami.
Bring on the Bears.
Seahawks 24, Dolphins 13